Market Intelligence · Santa Clarita Valley

What LAPFCU Is Telling Buyers Right Now. And Why Santa Clarita Sellers Need To Know.

The Los Angeles Police Federal Credit Union ran a home buying webinar for its members. A lot of it was solid. Parts of it were not. A few things were flat wrong. If your house is about to go on the market in Santa Clarita, the buyers walking through your door are operating on some of this information. You should know what they were told and where it breaks down.

Watch the full webinar yourself: LAPFCU Smarter Home Buying Webinar on YouTube. Every quote below is cited with the speaker's name and affiliation. You can verify the exact wording in context. That transparency is the point.

TL;DR For Sellers

  • A major LA area credit union told buyers the average homeowner stays 7 years. In Los Angeles, the real number is 20 years.
  • They said 38 percent of transactions cancel over missing preapproval. The real 2025 cancellation rate runs 14 to 15 percent nationally, and the top cause is inspection issues, not preapproval.
  • They said Texas does not allow HELOCs. Texas does allow them. They are restricted. Different thing.
  • They described a commission rebate program without addressing the post NAR settlement landscape that took effect August 2024.
  • The insurance section was strong. One honest hour in a 58 minute webinar.
  • Sellers should know what their buyers believe, because that shapes your offer strength, your inspection exposure, and whether you close.

This is not a takedown. LAPFCU has 90 years in business and serves one of the most loyal member bases in the country. Many of those members are current and retired law enforcement. I spent 20 years on LAPD myself. I know the people this credit union serves. That is why the errors matter.

Home buying is the biggest financial decision most of these members will ever make. If parts of the guidance they receive are outdated or incorrect, the downstream effect shows up in our listings. It shows up as an offer that falls apart in escrow. It shows up as a buyer renegotiating after inspection. It shows up as a seller losing 45 days of market time because their buyer's financing was never as solid as the paperwork suggested.

So here is what the webinar said, what is actually true, and what every Santa Clarita seller should do with that information.

1. The Homeowner Tenure Problem

What LAPFCU Told Buyers
"The average home buyer stays in a home about seven years before they go back on the open market."
Caesar Melendres, Jason Mitchell Real Estate, Home Advantage agent

This number is badly stale. It might have been accurate in 2006. It is not accurate in 2026.

20 years
Median Los Angeles homeowner tenure, per Redfin's 2026 analysis of county records.

Nationally, the median is 12 years. Los Angeles is the longest tenure metro in the country. San Jose is second at 18.7 years. San Francisco at 16.5. San Diego at 14.5. NAR's 2025 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers found that the median buyer now plans to stay 15 years in their new home, and 28 percent call it their "forever home."

Proposition 13 is the anchor. Mortgage rate lock is the chain. A homeowner who bought in 2020 at a 3 percent rate is not selling that house to buy a 6.75 percent loan across town for no reason. They are staying put. And in Santa Clarita specifically, the combination of fire zone insurance shifts and rising property tax bills for new buyers keeps existing owners in place even longer.

Why This Matters To Your Listing

When a buyer shows up thinking they are making a 7 year decision, they will nitpick everything. Every repair request. Every concession. Every negotiation is framed as "I am only going to be here a few years, I do not want to spend anything." When a buyer understands this is likely a 15 to 20 year commitment, their psychology shifts. They negotiate like an owner, not a renter in training. Your listing attracts stronger offers when buyers arrive with the right time horizon.

2. The Transaction Cancellation Stat Was Made Up

What LAPFCU Told Buyers
"38 percent of transactions cancel because the buyers were not preapproved."
Caesar Melendres, Jason Mitchell Real Estate, Home Advantage agent

I cannot find a source for this number anywhere in NAR, Redfin, ATTOM, or Mortgage Bankers Association data. Not in 2024, not in 2025, not this year. What we actually know from the publicly reported data tells a different story.

15.1%
National pending sale cancellation rate, August 2025, per Redfin. The highest August on record.

Los Angeles hit 15.9 percent in January 2025, driven significantly by the Palisades and Eaton fires. The real 2025 range was 14 to 15 percent nationally across most months.

And here is the part that should matter most to sellers. When Redfin surveyed 443 of its own agents about what caused these cancellations, the answers were specific:

Agents can cite more than one reason, which is why the numbers add above 100. But the lesson is clear. Sellers lose deals because of what inspectors find in the house, not because buyers arrived without preapproval letters.

What A Real Sellers Only Agent Does About This

We pre inspect your property before it hits the market. Termite. Roof. Sewer lateral. HVAC. Electrical panel. We find the problems before the buyer's inspector does and we either fix them or price for them in the disclosure. Buyers cannot blow up a deal over something you already told them about. This one protocol, done right, kills the number one reason deals collapse in escrow. If your agent is not doing this in 2026, you are running blind into the number one statistical threat to your closing.

3. The Texas HELOC Answer Was Wrong

What LAPFCU Told Buyers
"Texas does not like HELOCs... Texas does not allow HELOCs. That is about the only state that does that."
Veronica Moscowitz, Director of Mortgage Operations, LAPFCU

Texas allows HELOCs. It has since the legislature passed the constitutional amendments in 1997 and 2003. They are restricted, not prohibited.

The Texas Constitution, Article XVI, Section 50, lays out the rules. A Texas HELOC must be secured by the borrower's homestead. It is capped at 80 percent combined loan to value. Each draw must be at least 4,000 dollars. There is a mandatory 12 day waiting period before closing. Only one 50(a)(6) loan can exist against the property at a time. HELOCs cannot be accessed with credit or debit cards. Annual fees are prohibited.

Those are meaningful restrictions. They make Texas HELOCs more conservative than in other states. They do not make them illegal. Any Texas credit union, bank, or mortgage lender can originate them today.

Why This Matters Here

A lot of Santa Clarita homeowners are considering Texas as a retirement or second home destination. If they walk out of their credit union believing HELOCs do not exist there, they will plan their equity and liquidity the wrong way. Then when they sell the SCV house, they will leave money in the wrong account or structure the new purchase in a suboptimal way. This is a small error with a real financial cost.

4. The Commission Rebate Pitch Sidestepped The Biggest Story In Real Estate

Home Advantage described its 20 percent commission rebate program. It is a real benefit and members do receive it. What the webinar did not mention was the single most important change in residential real estate since the 1970s, which took effect August 17, 2024.

The NAR settlement. Buyers now sign written representation agreements before they tour homes. Buyer agent compensation is no longer bundled into the MLS. Commissions are openly negotiable between the buyer and their agent, with the buyer bearing responsibility for the fee unless the seller agrees to contribute outside the MLS.

If a buyer does not understand this, they will show up to a contract negotiation expecting the seller to cover a buyer agent commission as a default. In many cases, that is not happening anymore. The seller is offering what they are willing to offer. Sometimes nothing. Sometimes a partial contribution. The buyer has to cover the rest or renegotiate their own agent's fee.

Why This Matters To Sellers

We do not automatically offer a buyer agent commission on SeventeenK listings. We evaluate every offer on its own terms. Sometimes offering buyer agent compensation increases the pool of qualified offers. Sometimes it costs the seller 15 to 20 thousand dollars with no measurable impact on sale price or speed. Post August 2024, this is a decision, not a default. If your listing agent is treating it as automatic, you are potentially leaving money on the table.

5. What The Webinar Got Right

Fairness is a brand in itself, so here is where LAPFCU was solid.

Maria Asencio's insurance section was the best 10 minutes of the hour. She covered the six coverages (A through F) clearly. She warned members not to wait until the last minute to shop for insurance, especially with the post Palisades, post Eaton market in Southern California. She told buyers to get insurance quotes as early as 6 weeks before closing, a recommendation I co sign completely.

She did not pretend the insurance market is normal. She said it is improving from two years ago but nobody knows when it normalizes. That is honest.

Veronica's HELOC error aside, her explanation of the difference between pre qualification and pre approval was correct and important. Pre qualification is a credit and income review based on what the buyer self reports. Pre approval means the lender has pulled bank statements, tax returns, employment verification, and credit. Pre approval is a document a listing agent should take seriously. Pre qualification is not.

Her point about not opening new credit cards or financing a solar system during the loan process is real. I have seen that exact mistake kill three separate deals in the last two years in SCV alone. One buyer financed a Tesla at the midpoint of a 30 day escrow and their DTI blew up the loan. That house went back on market.

Her team's 17 day average turn time is fast by any standard. Most credit unions run 25 to 35 days. LAPFCU's mortgage department is genuinely efficient.

The end of watch debt protection benefit is unusual and valuable. Up to 850,000 dollars combined loan coverage if a member passes in the line of duty. No credit union I know of in California offers anything like it. That is a real differentiator and members should know it exists.

What A Sellers Only Agent Watches For

When we receive an offer on a SeventeenK listing, we read more than the price. We read what kind of information the buyer has been operating on.

Does the buyer understand they may own this house for 15 to 20 years? That shapes how they respond to inspection findings.

Is the preapproval real or is it a pre qualification that someone labeled a preapproval? The difference is documented verification of income, assets, and credit.

Does the buyer's lender process their own loans, or does servicing get sold to an offshore operation 30 days after closing? LAPFCU does not sell servicing, which is a genuine strength. Many other lenders do, and that affects how problems get resolved post close.

Does the buyer know what they are buying in terms of fire zone designation, CLUE report history, insurance eligibility, and HOA status? In SCV specifically, post Palisades, the insurance question alone can kill a deal three weeks into escrow if it was not addressed up front.

Is the buyer relying on outdated commission assumptions? We clarify this in the offer response, not after the deal is in trouble.

These questions are not hostile. They are how a listing agent protects a seller from 45 days of lost market time. When you list with a sellers only agent who only works one side of the table, all this diligence runs in your favor, not against you.

The Bottom Line For SCV Sellers

The average LA homeowner sells their house every 20 years. That means if you are listing right now, there is a very good chance you have not done this since 2006. The rules changed. The contract changed. The commission structure changed. The insurance market changed. The inspection leverage shifted to buyers. The financing environment is almost unrecognizable compared to pre 2022.

Your buyer is also operating on a patchwork of information. Some of it is current. Some of it came from a YouTube video. Some of it came from a well meaning credit union webinar that got a few important things wrong.

You do not need to become an expert on any of this. You need to hire someone who already is. Someone whose job is you, not the person buying your house. Someone who gets paid the same 17,000 dollars whether your house sells for 900,000 or 1.5 million, because the work is the same.

One Fee. One Side Of The Table. Yours.

SeventeenK. Seventeen thousand dollars, all in, fixed. Sellers only. Santa Clarita Valley. 27 plus years. No dual agency. No split loyalties. We pre inspect, we price right, we protect your deal.

See How SeventeenK Works

Frequently Asked Questions

How long does the average Los Angeles homeowner stay in their home?

20 years as of 2026 per Redfin's analysis of county records. The national median is 12 years. Los Angeles has the longest homeowner tenure of any major metro in the United States, driven by Proposition 13 and mortgage rate lock.

What is the current real estate transaction cancellation rate?

National cancellation rates ran 14 to 15 percent of pending sales throughout 2025, peaking at 15.1 percent in August 2025 per Redfin. Los Angeles hit 15.9 percent in January 2025 following the Palisades and Eaton fires. The top cause is inspection and repair issues at 70.4 percent, not buyer preapproval issues.

Are HELOCs actually allowed in Texas?

Yes. Texas HELOCs are legal. They are subject to strict rules including 80 percent LTV cap, 12 day waiting period, homestead only, 4,000 dollar minimum draws, no credit or debit card access, and one home equity loan per property at a time. Restricted is not the same as prohibited.

Do I have to offer a buyer agent commission when I sell my house?

Since the NAR settlement took effect August 17, 2024, offering buyer agent compensation is no longer automatic or assumed. It is negotiable between the seller, the buyer, and the buyer's agent. Some sellers offer it, some do not. The decision should be made based on the specific transaction, not defaulted to a historical norm.

What is SeventeenK and how is it different from a traditional listing?

SeventeenK is a 17,000 dollar all in fixed fee listing service for Santa Clarita Valley sellers. The fee does not scale with the sale price. Representation is seller side only with no dual agency. Pre inspection protocols are standard. Full MLS exposure, marketing, staging guidance, and transaction management are included. Commissions are negotiable by California law, and SeventeenK is one structure that reflects that reality.

What should a Santa Clarita seller do to protect against contract cancellation?

Pre inspect the property before listing. Address known issues or disclose them with price adjustments built in. Verify the buyer's preapproval is a true lender verified approval, not a soft pre qualification. Confirm the buyer's lender processes their own loans. Check fire zone designation and insurance eligibility before accepting an offer. Work with a listing agent who only represents sellers so there is no conflict in how offers are evaluated.

Disclosure. This post is editorial commentary and public interest analysis of a publicly presented credit union webinar. Nothing here is legal, tax, or mortgage advice. Connor MacIvor is a licensed California real estate broker associate (CA DRE #01238257) at SYNC Brokerage, a sellers only agent, and a former participant in LAPFCU's Home Advantage program. The author holds no current affiliation with LAPFCU, Home Advantage, or Jason Mitchell Real Estate. Statistical claims are cited from public data published by the National Association of REALTORS, Redfin, ATTOM, and the Texas Real Estate Research Center. Readers should verify current figures and rules with qualified professionals before making financial decisions.